To say that I came back down to earth this past weekend off the high I was riding would be an understatement. So much so, that I wasn't even in a position to make any prop bet plays for Sunday's slate, let alone post them. Maybe a prop would've been the catalyst to get me back on the right track, but when the midday shower to wash away the bad juju was unsuccessful on Saturday, I knew it was time to take a break.
I don't claim to be a smart gambler, and sure as hell don't claim to be a good one, but if you want someone who's going to win huge one week and piss all of that money away the next week then I'm your guy. If the law of averages has taught me anything it's that water always finds its level and I'm in for a big week, so let's ride the wave of momentum I've convinced myself that I have into tonight's first MNF game:
Travis Kelce OVER 77.5 Yards (-105)
In my opinion, Travis Kelce is undoubtedly Patrick Mahomes first option in an offense loaded with explosive playmakers. You can argue it's a 1A & 1B situation between he and Tyreek Hill, but Kelce is entering tonight's matchup with the Bills leading the Chiefs in receiving in three consecutive games. The Bills have given up ~84 yards per game to opposing Tight Ends this season and I see that being no different against one of the game's premier tight ends. I like this a lot, currently have it as a one unit play, but am debating doubling down because I'm that confident in Kelce tonight. AND this isn't for the faint of heart, but the Bills have given up 3 touchdowns to Tight Ends in their past two games and Kelce's currently sitting at +650 to score the game's first touchdown and +335 to score the Chief's first..... just saying. Bet responsibly